November 27, 2018: member-only market studies


Here are the member-only market studies.
Let’s analyze the stock market’s price action by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.

*Probability ≠ certainty.

Late-cycle behavior

In today’s free market studies we looked at what happens next to the S&P 500 when the % of consumers saying that jobs are “plentiful” exceeds 46%

Here’s what happens next to the Dow

Here’s what happens next to the Russell

Here’s what happens next to the NASDAQ

Sotheby’s

In today’s free market studies we looked at what happens next to the S&P 500 when the Sotheby’s falls 33% from a 1 year high

Here’s what happens next to the Dow

Here’s what happens next to the Russell

Here’s what happens next to the NASDAQ